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Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

(Continued)


Discussion and Analysis > Operating Results by Business Segment > Tobacco > Operating Results


                                                                                      


2006 compared with 2005

The following discussion compares tobacco operating results for 2006 with 2005.

  • Domestic tobacco: PM USA’s net revenues, which include excise taxes billed to customers, increased $340 million (1.9%). Excluding excise taxes, net revenues increased $382 million (2.6%) to $14.9 billion, due primarily to lower wholesale promotional allowance rates ($604 million), partially offset by lower volume ($239 million).

    Operating companies income increased $231 million (5.0%), due primarily to lower wholesale promotional allowance rates, net of higher ongoing resolution costs ($424 million) and several other items (aggregating $79 million), partially offset by lower volume ($170 million), higher fixed manufacturing costs ($47 million), higher marketing, administration and research costs, including spending in 2006 for various excise tax ballot initiatives. The other items reflect a pre-tax provision in 2005 for the Boeken individual smoking case ($56 million) and the previously mentioned 2005 net charges related to tobacco quota buy-out legislation ($23 million).

    Marketing, administration and research costs include PM USA’s cost of administering and litigating product liability claims. Litigation defense costs are influenced by a number of factors, as more fully discussed in Note 19. Principal among these factors are the number and types of cases filed, the number of cases tried annually, the results of trials and appeals, the development of the law controlling relevant legal issues, and litigation strategy and tactics. For the years ended December 31, 2006, 2005 and 2004, product liability defense costs were $195 million, $258 million and $268 million, respectively. The factors that have influenced past product liability defense costs are expected to continue to influence future costs. PM USA does not expect that product liability defense costs will increase significantly in the future.

    PM USA’s shipment volume was 183.4 billion units, a decrease of 1.1%, but was estimated to be down approximately 1.5% when adjusted for trade inventory changes and the timing of promotional shipments. In the premium segment, PM USA’s shipment volume decreased 0.7%. Marlboro shipment volume decreased 0.2 billion units (0.2%) to 150.3 billion units. In the discount segment, PM USA’s shipment volume decreased 6.2%, while Basic shipment volume was down 5.0% to 14.5 billion units.

    The following table summarizes PM USA’s retail share performance, based on data from the IRI/Capstone Total Retail Panel, which was developed to measure market share in retail stores selling cigarettes, but was not designed to capture Internet or direct mail sales:


                                                          

    Effective February 12, 2007, PM USA increased the price of its other brands by $9.95 per thousand cigarettes or $1.99 per carton.

    Effective December 18, 2006, PM USA reduced its wholesale promotional allowance on its Focus on Four brands by $1.00 per carton, from $5.00 to $4.00 and increased the price of its other brands by $5.00 per thousand cigarettes or $1.00 per carton.

    Effective December 19, 2005, PM USA reduced its wholesale promotional allowance on its Focus on Four brands by $0.50 per carton, from $5.50 to $5.00. In addition, effective December 27, 2005, PM USA increased the price of its other brands by $2.50 per thousand cigarettes or $0.50 per carton.

    Effective December 12, 2004, PM USA reduced its wholesale promotional allowance on its Focus on Four brands by $1.00 per carton, from $6.50 to $5.50. In addition, effective January 16, 2005, PM USA increased the price of its other brands by $5.00 per thousand cigarettes or $1.00 per carton.

    PM USA cannot predict future changes or rates of change in domestic tobacco industry volume, the relative sizes of the premium and discount segments or its shipment or retail market share; however, it believes that its results may be materially adversely affected by the other items discussed under the caption Tobacco—Business Environment.
  • International tobacco: International tobacco net revenues, which include excise taxes billed to customers, increased $3.0 billion (6.6%). Excluding excise taxes, net revenues increased $781 million (3.9%) to $20.8 billion, due primarily to the impact of acquisitions ($637 million), price increases ($392 million) and higher volume/mix ($92 million), partially offset by unfavorable currency ($340 million).

    Operating companies income increased $633 million (8.1%), due primarily to a pre-tax gain related to the exchange of PMI’s interest in a beer business in the Dominican Republic ($488 million), price increases and cost savings ($410 million) and the impact of acquisitions ($232 million), partially offset by unfavorable currency ($183 million), unfavorable volume/mix ($157 million, including the 2005 benefit from the inventory sale in Italy), higher marketing, administration and research costs ($72 million), the Italian antitrust charge ($61 million) and higher pre-tax charges for asset impairment and exit costs ($36 million).

    PMI’s cigarette volume of 831.4 billion units increased 26.9 billion units (3.4%), due primarily to higher volume in Argentina, Colombia, Egypt, France, Indonesia, Mexico, Poland, Russia and Ukraine, partially offset by lower volume in Czech Republic, Italy, Japan, Portugal, Romania, Spain, Thailand and Turkey. Excluding acquisitions in Indonesia and Colombia, and the impact of the inventory sale to a new distributor in Italy in 2005, PMI’s cigarette shipment volume was up 0.4%. PMI’s total tobacco volume, which included 8.3 billion cigarette equivalent units of other tobacco products, grew 3.5%. Excluding acquisitions in Indonesia and Colombia, and the impact of the inventory sale to a new distributor in Italy in 2005, PMI’s total tobacco volume grew 0.6%.

    In the European Union, PMI’s cigarette volume decreased 2.8%. Excluding the inventory sale in Italy, PMI’s volume decreased 1.7% in the European Union due largely to declines in Czech Republic, Germany, Portugal and Spain, partially offset by gains in France, Hungary and Poland.

    In Spain, the total cigarette market was down 2.8%, due primarily to the impact of excise tax increases and a new tobacco law implemented on January 1, 2006. PMI’s shipment volume decreased 12.8%, reflecting increased consumer down-trading to the low-price segment. As a result of growing price gaps, PMI’s market share in Spain declined 2.4 share points to 32.2%. On January 21, 2006, the Spanish government raised excise taxes on cigarettes, which would have resulted in even larger price gaps if the tax increase had been passed on to consumers. Accordingly, PMI reduced its cigarette prices on January 26, 2006 to restore the competitiveness of its brands. In late February, the Spanish government again raised the level of excise taxes, but also established a minimum excise tax, following which PMI raised its prices back to prior levels. On November 10, 2006, the Spanish government announced an increase in the minimum excise tax to 70 euros per thousand. Effective December 30, 2006, PMI raised prices on all its brands. As a result, PMI believes that its overall profitability should improve in Spain in 2007.

    In Portugal, the total cigarette market declined 8.2%, reflecting lower overall consumption and higher consumer cross-border purchases in Spain. PMI’s shipment volume decreased 13.0% and market share was down 5.0 share points to 82.0%, due to severe price competition, partially arising from competitors continuing to sell lower-priced product from inventory that was accumulated prior to the tax increase.

    In Germany, PMI’s total tobacco volume (which includes other tobacco products) increased 0.9%; however, PMI’s cigarette volume declined 2.8%. Total tobacco consumption in Germany was down 5.9% in 2006, reflecting the decline and ultimate exit of tobacco portions from the market. The total cigarette market decreased 3.9%, affected by the September 2005 tax-driven price increase as well as the sale of illicit cigarettes as reported by the German cigarette manufacturers’ association. PMI’s cigarette market share increased 0.2 share points to 36.8%, driven by the price repositioning of L&M in January 2006. During the fourth quarter of 2005, the European Court of Justice ruled that the German government’s favorable tax treatment of tobacco portions was against EU law. Accordingly, tobacco portions manufactured as of April 1, 2006 now incur the same excise tax as that levied on cigarettes, and as of October 2006, PMI’s shipments of tobacco portions ceased.

    In the Czech Republic, shipment volume was down 9.7% and market share was lower, reflecting intense price competition. In Italy, the total cigarette market rose 1.1% versus a low base in 2005, when it was adversely impacted by the compounding effects of the January 2005 legislation restricting smoking in public places and the December 2004 tax-driven price increase. PMI’s shipment volume in Italy decreased 3.9%, reflecting the one-time inventory sale in 2005. Adjusting for the one-time inventory sale, cigarette shipment volume in Italy increased 1.9%. Market share in Italy increased 1.3 share points to 53.8%, driven by Marlboro, Diana and Chesterfield.

    In Poland, shipment volume was up 6.3% and market share increased 2.8 share points to 40.0%, driven by L&M and Next.

    In France, shipment volume increased 7.0%, driven by price stability, moderate price gaps and favorable timing of shipments. Market share increased 1.0 share point to 42.7%, reflecting the strong performance of Marlboro and the Philip Morris brand.

    In Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa, volume increased 1.7%, driven by gains in Russia, Ukraine and Egypt, partially offset by declines in Romania and Turkey. In Russia, shipments were up 3.4%, driven by Marlboro, Muratti, Parliament, and Chesterfield, while market share was down 0.4 share points to 26.6%, due primarily to declines of low-price brands and L&M. Higher shipments in Ukraine mainly reflect higher market share, as well as up-trading to higher margin brands. In Romania, shipments declined 15.1% and share was down 2.1 share points to 31.4%. In Turkey, shipments declined 3.5%, reflecting the continued decline of low-price Bond Street. However, PMI market share in Turkey rose 1.4 share points to 42.5%, as consumers traded up to its higher margin brands, Parliament and Muratti.

    In Asia, volume increased 12.3%, reflecting the acquisition of Sampoerna in Indonesia. Excluding this acquisition, volume in Asia was down 1.0%, due primarily to lower volume in Japan and Thailand. In Japan, the total market declined 4.4%, driven by the July 1, 2006 price increase. Market share in Japan decreased 0.1 point to 24.7%. Market share in Indonesia grew 1.5 points to 27.7%, led by A Hijau and A Mild.

    In Latin America, volume increased 10.8%, driven by strong gains in Argentina and Mexico, as well as higher volume in Colombia due to the 2005 acquisition of Coltabaco. Excluding this acquisition, volume was up 6.3% in Latin America. In Argentina, the total market advanced approximately 7.5%, while PMI shipments grew 15.9% and share was up 4.9 share points, due mainly to the Philip Morris brand. In Mexico, the total market was up approximately 2.0% and PMI shipments grew 6.0%. Market share rose 1.4 share points to 63.5%, reflecting the continued strong performance of Marlboro and Benson & Hedges.

    PMI achieved market share gains in a number of important markets, including Argentina, Austria, Belgium, Egypt, Finland, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Hungary, Indonesia, Italy, Korea, Mexico, Poland, Singapore, Sweden, Thailand, Turkey and Ukraine.

    Volume for Marlboro cigarettes decreased 1.9%, due primarily to declines in Argentina, Germany, Japan and Spain. However, in-market volume was up and Marlboro market share increased in many important markets, including France, Greece, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Korea, Kuwait, Mexico, Poland, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Spain, Thailand and Ukraine.

    As discussed in Note 5. Acquisitions, in 2005 PMI acquired 98% of the outstanding shares of Sampoerna, an Indonesian tobacco company, and a 98.2% stake in Coltabaco, the largest tobacco company in Colombia.

    In December 2005, the China National Tobacco Corporation (“CNTC”) and PMI reached agreement on the licensed production in China of Marlboro and the establishment of an international joint venture between China National Tobacco Import and Export Group Corporation (“CNTIEGC”), a whollyowned subsidiary of CNTC, and PMI. PMI and CNTIEGC will each hold 50% of the shares of the joint venture company, which will be based in Lausanne, Switzerland. Following its establishment, the joint venture company will offer consumers a comprehensive portfolio of Chinese heritage brands globally, expand the export of tobacco products and tobacco materials from China, and explore other business development opportunities. It is expected that the production and sale of Marlboro cigarettes under license in China and the sale of Chinese style brands in selected international markets through the joint venture company will commence in 2007. The agreements are not expected to result in a material impact on PMI’s financial results for some time.

    In the third quarter of 2006, PMI entered into an agreement with British American Tobacco to purchase the Muratti and Ambassador trademarks in certain markets, as well as rights to L&M and Chesterfield in Hong Kong, in exchange for the rights to Benson & Hedges in certain African markets and a payment of $115 million. The transaction closed in the fourth quarter of 2006.

    In November 2006, a subsidiary of PMI exchanged its 47.5% interest in E. León Jimenes, C. por. A. (“ELJ”), which included a 40% indirect interest in ELJ’s beer subsidiary, Cerveceria Nacional Dominicana, C. por. A., for 100% ownership of ELJ’s cigarette subsidiary, Industria de Tabaco León Jimenes, S.A. (“ITLJ”) and $427 million of cash, which was contributed to ITLJ prior to the transaction. As a result of the transaction, PMI now owns 100% of the cigarette business and no longer holds an interest in ELJ’s beer business. The exchange of PMI’s interest in ELJ’s beer subsidiary resulted in a pre-tax gain on sale of $488 million, which increased Altria Group, Inc.’s 2006 net earnings by $0.15 per diluted share. The operating results of ELJ’s cigarette subsidiary from November 2006 to December 31, 2006, the amounts of which were not material, were included in Altria Group, Inc.’s operating results.

    On January 19, 2007, PMI entered into an agreement to acquire an additional 50.2% stake in a Pakistan cigarette manufacturer, Lakson Tobacco Company Limited (“Lakson Tobacco”), which is expected to bring PMI’s stake in Lakson Tobacco to approximately 90%. The transaction is valued at approximately $340 million and is expected to be completed during the first half of 2007. In January 2007, PMI notified the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan and local stock exchanges of its intention to commence a public tender offer for the remaining shares.
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